Israel military action against Yemen by...? - Predictus
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
Middle East

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

June 30 13.5%
March 31 1%
April 30 1%
April 15 1%
No price history yet
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Jun 1Jun 2Jun 2
No price history yet.
$1.80M Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

  • Resolver: official source.
  • Deadline: closing date in UTC.
  • Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.
24h volume$19K
Liquidity$21K
Outcomes5

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