Prediction markets - Predictus
Sign Up

Prediction markets

26 active markets · category “AI”

How to trade
Claude 4.8 released by...?

Claude 4.8 released by...?

May 31
May 3199%
June 15
June 1599%2 more
$680KVol. Jul 31ai
Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA
NVIDIA95%
Alphabet
Alphabet4%26 more
$21.8MVol. Jun 30ai
Gemini 3.2 released by...?

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

99%

chance

YesNo
$650KVol. Jun 30ai
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

1490+
1490+99%
1480+
1480+99%2 more
$37KVol. Dec 31ai
GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

July 31
July 3198%
June 30
June 3085%2 more
$901KVol. Jul 31ai
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

1480+
1480+1%
1440+
1440+1%1 more
$65KVol. Dec 31ai
When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

June 22–June 28
June 22–June 2856%
June 15–June 21
June 15–June 2135%6 more
$155KVol. Jun 28ai
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

July 3198%
June 3088%4 more
$58KVol. Jul 31ai
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026
No IPO by June 30, 202699%
600B+
600B+1%5 more
$1.66MVol. Jun 30ai
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

91%

chance

YesNo
$83KVol. Dec 31ai
Which company has the third best AI model end of June?

Which company has the third best AI model end of June?

Anthropic
Anthropic89%
Google
Google8%27 more
$98KVol. Jun 30ai
Which company has the #3 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

Anthropic
Anthropic74%
Google
Google10%24 more
$9.9KVol. Jul 31ai