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Prediction markets
15 active markets
· category “Science”
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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?
≤6
1%
Yes
No
7
1%
Yes
No
$62K
Vol.
Jul 19
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
43 trading now
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
John Pardon
97%
Jacob Tsimerman
96%
9 more
$680K
Vol.
Jul 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
63 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
5-6"
40%
4-5"
34%
4 more
$24K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
47 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?
0
1%
Yes
No
1
92%
Yes
No
$31K
Vol.
Jul 19
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
46 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
86%
3rd hottest
8%
2 more
$79K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
41 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
450-475mm
30%
500-525mm
27%
8 more
$15K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$83
35 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
August 30
51%
October 31
47%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
37 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
83%
1.25–1.29ºC
10%
4 more
$34K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
46 trading now
Precipitation in Seoul in July?
100mm+
99%
90-100mm
1%
6 more
$13K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Precipitation in London in July?
<30mm
85%
30-40mm
6%
5 more
$5.7K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
42 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
1800+
95%
2000+
94%
4 more
$20K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
36 trading now
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$576K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
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