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Prediction markets
12 active markets
· category “Science”
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How to trade
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1
30%
Yes
No
2
61%
Yes
No
$2.90M
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
52 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?
0
37%
Yes
No
1
39%
Yes
No
NEW
$5.3K
Vol.
Jun 8
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$65
45 trading now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$95K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$217
45 trading now
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$618K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
53 trading now
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$10K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$278
34 trading now
Natural Disaster in 2026?
27%
chance
Yes
No
$221K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$93
57 trading now
Precipitation in Seattle in June?
<0.5"
41%
>3"
30%
5 more
$179.19
Vol.
Jun 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$62
24 trading now
Precipitation in London in June?
40-50mm
31%
50-60mm
28%
5 more
$525.16
Vol.
Jun 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$82
38 trading now
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
36%
chance
Yes
No
$964.99
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$69
37 trading now
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$108K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$7.8K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$218
38 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in June?
160–189
47%
190–219
45%
7 more
$101.05
Vol.
Jul 8
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$54
25 trading now
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